Friday, June 8, 2012

We were duped: Walker fooled us all on jobs in 2011

Governor, DWD hid evidence of losses during last half of 2011

There is some great analysis over a couple of spreadsheets obtained by the blog site Badger Democracy from the Department of Workforce Development.

Apparently -- and this is a shocker, I know -- Walker lied about those job numbers he kept saying would vindicate his first year in office.
The numbers Wisconsin DWD sent to US BLS shows an anemic gain of 19,248 jobs in 2011 – not the 23,000+ (later revised to 26,000+) the Walker Administration/Campaign heralded.

...

Scott Walker claimed he created 23,608 jobs in 2011. Based on the source of QCEW data, which he is citing, that number is only between 19,248 and 19,535. An overstatement of 16-20%. Those numbers are only accurate if the inconsistent data from the state’s own reporting is accurate. That is why this early data release was so misleading and misstated – nothing has been verified.
Emphases added.

So the unverified data showed that Walker's assessment of 2011 was off by around 4,000 jobs.

"But so what?" you might be asking. "19,000 jobs is still a significant growth in jobs." (Actually, it pales in comparison to the last year of Gov. Jim Doyle's job numbers, but let's go with it.) "You shouldn't be so critical of Walker for having a full year of job growth."

That might make sense -- were Walker actually responsible for those jobs created. As I've pointed out on this blog on countless occasions, Walker's budget wasn't implemented until the end of June 2011. In those previous posts, it was clear that Walker's budget stagnated the growth that had occurred at the beginning of the year -- which was created by an entirely different (and Democratic) administration.

How do Walker's own numbers (Excel) hold up to this trend? See for yourself:


A significant gain in jobs from the first six months, then a decline, a recovery, and then another decline in the following six months.

Overall, the first six months of 2011 -- again, when Doyle's budget was in play, not Walker's -- were a net gain. The last six months (Walker's budget) produced a net loss, halving the gains created in the first part of the year.


But, lo and behold, just weeks before the election was to take place, Walker released these numbers without the month-to-month breakdown. And the Department of Workforce Development refused to release them until after the recall. All we heard, then, was that more than 20,000 jobs were created in 2011. No context. No nothing.

Walker spun the numbers to make it sound as if he had been responsible for the job gains. In fact, he was responsible -- for cutting them in half.

We were duped. The job creation came under an entirely different budget. And after Walker passed his own budget, nearly 25,000 jobs were lost.

It's easy to win an election when you omit information that might jeopardize your victory. That Scott Walker used the Department of Workforce Development to conceal this knowledge is beyond reproach, a new low for this administration already accustomed to keeping Wisconsin in the dark about his record.

14 comments:

  1. well i'd like to say this surprised me...but let's be honest. it didn't! however, i'm not one of the ones who feels that everything walker does is bad. this, yes. where are the links to verify YOUR information?

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    1. Just Google and ask the question about the numbers from the feds and you will see it for yourself. The feds still refuse to say he was told by them the numbers he used hense forth a lie.

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    2. He also clearly states in the beginning "There is some great analysis over a couple of spreadsheets obtained by the blog site Badger Democracy from the Department of Workforce Development."

      Now to the just of this, to be honest i am not surprised at all by this. These numbers have been clear to anybody that was actually willing to get dirty and do the research. However, whats done is done now, and i just hope that Wisconsin can sustain itself to a point where its not out of control and where we can recover quickly from what will happen. One can only hope now.

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  2. Didn't fool me. I knew he was a liar from day one. Our only hope is that the Feds throw his ass in prison where it belongs.

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  3. Sad that so many were fooled by his lies and voted to let him retain his job. The state of Wisconsin is going to get hurt big time.

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    1. I agree, Rhonda. It is very sad, and some of the people that will hurt the most are the children. Schools closing, bigger class sizes, and teachers losing their jobs...it's a sad time for Wisconsin and Wisconsin education.

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  4. one of the reasons he won is because of the thirty million bucks he spent on the election. Not to mention the class envy he propagated very well. workers are fighting amonst themselves and are ignoring the facts. walker is a liar!

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  5. Anyone who contributes millions of dollars to keep him in office are NOT doing in with the average working Joe in mind. They did it to keep the millions flowing in and run the country. There are no "job creators", that go out and create jobs because they want to be nice. They do it because there is a demand for a product. It's not any more complicated than that. No ones buying because we're being robbed blind.

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    1. He did create jobs for a few weeks. Those people that were caring the "I stand with Walker" signs were getting paid to carry those signs. (I had to ask one of them why they were doing it). But after the election, I am sure they are out of a job too.

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  6. How do these job stats compare with the natiion over the same time period? Are we looking at a small sectoin of the overall picture. Does the state job gain/loss follow a national trend? I don't know, but to get a better idea of job loss/gain in the state, some comparison from the national job gain/loss would be good.

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    1. Actually that was done. WI came in 51st in job creation. I know there is only 50 states, but they are also taking in consideration Washington DC as being its own district.

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  7. Walker is such the scum bag and I can't get over his lying beady eyes. He always makes me sick!

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  8. Well, I still have my recall walker hate. I cleaned it and it is all ready for the day the people get wise and start bitching about jobs again and sportsmen start bitching about filled in wet lands and sell off of public lands. All that I need to do is add the numbers and land sold to the cap. With a big, SEE WHAT IGNORANCE GETS YOU!

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    1. But that's the problem. They're ignorant and they simply will not see it, no matter that it's sitting right in front of their face.

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