Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Kamala Harris Sees Small "Bump" in Polls One Week Out From Debate

Image via WhiteHouse.gov/Public Domain

Polling data is showing a small "bump" in the polls for Kamala Harris just over a week after her debate with Donald Trump.

The Democratic candidate for president leads Trump by an average of 3.1 points, on average, according to the aggregate polling site FiveThirtyEight. That's a jump of more than half a point from September 10, the night of the debate.

That sounds like a minimal increase, but it's based on a pool of polls all put together. A better indication of the "bump" can be seen by observing changes in specific polls.

The Economist/YouGov survey that was taken before the debate showed the two candidates were tied at that time, at 45 percent support for each among registered voters. In their most recent poll, Harris has a 4-point lead, attaining 49 percent support to Trump's 45 percent.

Similarly, a Morning Consult poll from before the debate had Harris ahead by 3 points. A week out from the debate, that lead has doubled, expanding to 6 points, per the organization's latest polling.

The momentum is clearly on Harris's side, and early observations about her winning the debate appear to have been true, given the expansion of her national lead. Whether she can hold onto it, from here until November, and whether it will translate to an Electoral College win, has yet to be seen.

No comments:

Post a Comment